One Eighth Down, And Seven To Go- Erik “Big E” Pessolano
Thursday, September 24th, 2009It’s only Week 2 of the NFL season, but as everyone who likes to freak out early on in the year would say, “We’re already an eighth of the way through the season!” Alright guys, calm down. 15 weeks left. PLENTY of football to be played.
Now, since I didn’t write my normal prediction blog before the season started, why not assess the first two weeks and go from there? And don’t worry, my Super Bowl champion will remain the same for those of you who know what I picked already. There will be no changes. In fact, we’ll make this a “bonus issue” of Inside E. I’ll tell you what I predicted at the start of the year, then I’ll follow up with what I think will happen based on 2 games.
To get started I should probably note that this will be written before the Monday Night game between Indianapolis and Miami. But that’s okay, we’ll manage.
Let us begin in the AFC…division-by-division.
AFC East
The big surprise of last year was the way the Miami Dolphins were able to win ten more games than they did the year before. Going 11-5 after being 1-15 is the greatest turnaround in franchise history. However, a first round playoff loss to Baltimore left the Fins a bit sour. Not only that, but a Week 1 disappointment against Atlanta last week didn’t help either.
The Jets drafted Mark Sanchez and thought he would be the quarterback of the future for the franchise. Guess what Jet fans? HE IS. Finally, you all selected well.
The Bills got T.O. and since they’ve won a game and are now 1-1, no locker room tension as of yet.
And finally, the Patriots are got back Tommy Boy. Sure they looked bad against the Bills in Week 1, but they got the win. And sure they looked bad against the Jets, but at least they got the wi…oh wait…that’s right…no they didn’t. This race will be very close come the end of the year.
The Jets look to be the front-runner out of the gate and I’m guessing Miami can’t possibly play that bad against Indy tomorrow night, right? The Bills showed they can hang with the class of the division, but we’ll see if they can beat New York.
Prediction at start of season: New England wins division at 12-4
Prediction after Week 2: New England wins division at 11-5
Something tells me the Patriots needed to get worked by the Jets to realize they’re slacking off…offensively AND defensively. I assure you this will not happen again when the jets go to Foxborough. They still might lose, but not like that. The Jets will finish 10-6 and Miami will be 8-8 along with Buffalo.
STAT OF THE WEEK: Miami had a league record-low 13 turnovers all year in 2008-2009. They had 4 against Atlanta in Week 1.
AFC North
Pittsburgh and Baltimore. Baltimore and Pittsburgh. Seems pretty interchangeable, at least for the last FOREVER. Cleveland and Cincinnati haven’t even come close to a contending since this division was formed. In fact the year it was, it was the first time the Bengals finished better than 5th in their division. Mind you, realignment made four team divisions. They couldn’t finish 5th. But now, they have life. If Carson Palmer stays healthy, they have a shot at this thing.
As for the Browns…they don’t. And won’t for a while.
The Ravens defense is the Ravens defense, however they have allowed 50 points in their first two games, which is a bit uncharacteristic of them.
And as for the Champs, you gotta give them the nod early, even though they’re 1-1 after a last second loss to the Bears (Side Note: A certain someone was the only one in his pool to pick Chicago this week…I’m just saying).
Prediction at start of season: Pittsburgh wins division at 11-5
Prediction after Week 2: Pittsburgh wins division at 11-5
No change here. Things in the AFC North seem to remain the same. Not having Troy Polamalu hurts the Steelers, but they will find a way to overcome and take the North once again.
STAT OF THE WEEK: After racking up a franchise record 501 yards of offense in Week 1 against Kansas City, the Ravens amassed only 311 yards against San Diego, were out-passed by 240 yards, were out-gained by 163 yards…and still won by five, 31-26.
AFC South
After a shocking 14-2 season by the Titans in 2008 and having the league’s best record, the Titans look to repeat as AFC South division champs. It will not be easy. Here, we’re looking at yet another three-team race.
Sorry Jaguar fans (however many left there are), your team is not one of them. Even though they played the Colts tight in Week 1, they looked awful at home against Arizona.
The Colts didn’t play too hot in that game either and it seems as though they will be missing wide outs Marvin Harrison (released in off season) and Anthony Gonzalez (injured in Week 1- Out for a few weeks).
The Titans dropped this week’s game against the Texans on the road and will sorely miss defensive tackle Albert Haynesworth in the middle. The run defense for Tennessee will have a tough time this year.
And how about those Houston Texans? Played terrible against the Jets (understandable) and hung tough with Tennessee to pull off a big victory.
This division is too close to call due to the evenness of talent, but I think we’ll see an old friend (or enemy, depending on how you look at it) return to the top.
Prediction at start of season: Indianapolis wins division at 11-5
Prediction after Week 2: Indianapolis wins division at 10-6
These teams will beat each other up. I can’t see any team in this division winning more than 4 of the 6 scheduled games against their division rivals.
STAT OF THE WEEK: After going 0-5 in the Eastern time zone last season, the Arizona Cardinals defeated the Jaguars in Jacksonville, 31-17. Ouch, Jacksonville…very ouch.
AFC West
Oh my goodness, where to start? This is quite possibly the worst division in the HISTORY of football. Alright maybe not that bad, but it’s pretty bad. It is getting better though.
Everyone thought the Chargers would run away with this thing early, but even the Raiders had something to say about that in the first Monday Night game of the year…or was it the second?…It was after the Bills and Patriots…oh, never mind. Anyway, Oakland played well, should have won the game but didn’t, and subsequently left half of San Diego with a mild heart attack after a pretty good game. So don’t count out Oakland, especially after the way the Chargers played at home against Baltimore.
As for Denver, who would have thought that the Broncos would be 2-0 at this point? Cutler gets traded to Chicago, Brandon Marshall has an emotional breakdown basically, and Josh McDaniels gains the moniker of being a pain in the ass right from the get-go. A freak play at Cincinnati and a heart-stopping (sarcasm is funny) against Cleveland and you got yourself first place in the AFC West. Will it last? Probably not. But they can dream, right?
Last and certainly least, the Kansas City Chiefs. New coach + 2nd year quarterback playing his first year with new team= no bueno por la ciudad de Kansas. Losing to Oakland in the final minutes this week and a lack-of-defense-of-any-sort performance against Baltimore and you got yourself last place in the worst division. Yikes.
Prediction at start of season: Chargers win division at 14-2
Prediction after Week 2: Chargers win division at 10-6
I really thought the Chargers’ easy schedule would vault them to the league’s best record. I also thought the 14-2 would be wasted in the Divisional Playoff when the Chargers would lose by 21 to (Insert any team here).
STAT OF THE WEEK: Through two weeks of play, Denver has allowed 13 total points defensively. The next closest in the division is 34 by Oakland.
NFC East
This is now the new “Black and Blue” division. No disrespect to the old NFC Central (Or Norris, for those of you old school fans), but the East is very, very competitive.
Of course the leader of the pack is the New York Football Giants. Osi Umenyiora is back and opposing quarterbacks had better be scared. Eli Manning is Eli Manning and apparently he has found a new favorite receiver (and for more than one reason). That receiver: Mario MANNINGham. Notice the capitalized letters. Two other reasons for being his favorite: 1) He makes spectacular bobbling catches while on his back in the end zone. 2) He has NEVER shot himself (Ouch, low blow? Maybe, but c’mon).
team number two: The Philadelphia Eagles. They lost Donnie once again for who knows how long, but have an OK replacement in Kevin Kolb. he looked terrible against New Orleans, but he will come around. These things take time. Plus if he doesn’t, Michael Vick has been known to toss the pigskin around (or run with it anyway) and he would be able to get it done too. I’m tired of everyone saying “Oh, he hasn’t played in two years.” It doesn’t matter, you don’t just lose talent. Game shape is different, but he’ll get that back if he hasn’t already. This will not be a cake walk for the Giants that’s for sure.
The Dallas Cowboys. Over/Under on punts hitting the scoreboard this year is…ummm…let’s go with 2. This whole situation was stupid and should never be talked about again. And when a punt does hit the scoreboard on Monday Night, you can all rag on me. Anyway, the Cowboys are slightly in a shamble here. T.O. is gone. Whether or not you agree, he will be missed. Having two star receivers will help take the pressure off of one or the other. Just ask the Cardinals. The ‘Boys should be able to snag up a Wild Card spot, but it will be close.
And finally, the Redskins. They beat St. Louis 9-7 on Sunday. That is all.
Prediction at start of season: New York wins division at 12-4.
Prediction after Week 2: New York wins division at 12-4.
No changes here. All things remain constant.
STAT OF THE WEEK: Dallas Cowboys left tackle Flozell Adams was fined $12,500 for kicking two New York Giants on Sunday. This makes two straight games that Adams has been fined by the league. Fantastic.
NFC North
I bet you would have thought that the first two words of this analysis paragraph would be “Brett Favre.” Boy, were you wrong. Anyway, Brett Favre and the Pack…ummm…I mean Vikings look to be the class of the league at the outset. Adrian Peterson is the best back in the division since Barry Sanders, which is scary. I know the Vikes have two wins over Cleveland and Detroit, but they didn’t disappoint at all. The first test for Minnesota will be Sunday when they face San Francisco in their home opener.
The Packers don’t look too shabby either, even though they allowed the Bengals to come back and beat them and allow they Bengals receiver Eighty-five (I speak English) to do a Lambeau Leap into a section of three Bengals fans who he purchased tickets for. Good thing he scored in that end zone otherwise that wouldn’t have been money well spent. I digress. But the Packers run game coupled with an awesome receiver in Greg Jennings should keep the Packers competitive.
A big win over the defending champs at home. A new quarterback. A somewhat disappointing loss to the Pack at Lambeau. But the Bears are for real. Trust me on this one. Matt Forte can flat out run the ball and you have to like the Vanderbilt-Vanderbilt connection between Jay Cutler and rookie wideout Eddie Knox.
Lastly, the Lions. Here’s to even less analysis than the Redskins.
Prediction at start of season: Bears win division at 11-5.
Prediction after Week 2: Bears win division at 11-5.
There’s a reason I have to keep the Bears prediction the same. read on and you’ll find out why.
STAT OF THE WEEK: It’s not really a stat as it is a tidbit of info that could screw things up in Minnesota for a day. If the Twins and Tigers finish tied atop the AL Central, they would have to play a one-game playoff to decide the division. That one-game playoff, by virtue of best record tiebreaker, would be played at the Metrodome. That game, if it is played, is scheduled to take place on Monday, October 5, in order to start the MLB Playoffs on time.. Familiar date? That’s Brett Favre’s first game against the Packers at the Metrodome. Have fun schedulers. The Twins and Tigers are separated by only 2 1/2 games too.
NFC South
Whoever finishes last in this division always wins it the next year. If this remains true, the Saints will win it this year. Guess what? 93 points in two games seems pretty reassuring. Reggie Bush has finally decided to not fumble (at least in Week 2) and Drew Brees just threw three touchdown passes as I typed this sentence. The defense is better and no one will stop the scoring machine. Look out for these guys. Oh look at that…Drew just threw another one…four.
Perhaps the greatest threat to the Saints is the Falcons. Matty Ice has settled in as an NFL quarterback and is looking stronger every week. They have the Patriots at Foxborough this week, which will be a homecoming game for the Boston College graduate. A win for Atlanta here an the Saints better be looking over their shoulder. And I almost forgot, Tony Gonzalez is a Falcon now. Yup.
Will Jake Delhomme ever be replaced in Carolina? Probably not. Especially since he is the BEST quarterback on their roster…which is hard to believe. If he doesn’t begin to step it up and the defense doesn’t stop anybody, the Panthers are going to have a loooooong season.
Tampa Bay is bad. They are not good in anyway shape or form. They’re looking at the third overall draft pick next year, behind Detroit and St. Louis. yeah, it’s that bad.
Prediction at start of season: Atlanta wins division at 11-5.
Prediction after Week 2: Atlanta wins division at 11-5.
Surprised? Well don’t be. The Falcons will split with the Saints and beat Carolina and Tampa Bay twice each. BAM! 5-1 right there. Look out for Atlanta come playoff time.
STAT OF THE WEEK: Drew Brees has nine touchdown passes in two games. He’s on pace to throw 72.
NFC West
Another jumbled up mess of not a whole lot of talent here. The Rams are atrocious. The Seahawks just lost their quarterback for who knows how long. The Cardinals look okay and the 49ers finally resemble something that looks like a football team.
After two games, San Francisco has opened up some eyes under first full year head coach Mike Singletary. Two wins against division rivals Arizona and Seattle and the Niners are out of the gate in first place by themselves. Are the 49ers playoff worthy? Well, not quite yet. They have their first test Sunday when they go to Minnesota. If they get by that game, the rest of the West is in trouble. But good news for the rest of the division: the 49ers have started 2-0 once since 1999. In their Week 3 game two years ago when they were 2-0, they got drubbed by Pittsburgh 37-16.
You can’t count out Arizona. The defending NFC Champions looked strong last week against Jacksonville, getting back to their style of play that they seemed to have abandoned in Week 1 against San Francisco. Stop the run, pressure the quarterback and score fast. They accomplished all three in Florida and now get to see Peyton and the Colts in the prime time spotlight Sunday night. A win here and the Niners should be scared.
The Seahawks, even before losing Matt Hasselbeck, didn’t look so hot. The defense was in shambles and the offense sputtered. And that was during a 28-0 WIN against the Rams. If it wasn’t for the sad display of turnovers that the Rams gave Seattle in Week 1, they might still be playing that game tied at zero. Oh wait, we can tie in the NFL…never mind. Looks like the Seahawks will most likely be golfing early this year.
And finally the Rams. Another team deserving of no analysis. So guess what? They ain’t gettin’ none. Yeah that’s right, they even deserve that double negative.
Prediction at start of season: Arizona wins division at 9-7.
Prediction after Week 2: Arizona wins division at 9-7.
The Cards will pull together. It’s early and a couple of bumps in the road tend to happen. Plus, the Niners can’t possibly keep this up…can they?
STAT OF THE WEEK: The Cardinals were 0-5 when they played in the Eastern Time Zone last year. On Sunday, they smashed Jacksonville down at Jacksonville Municipal Stadium. 1-0.
So there you have it. I know nobody can completely agree with anything I typed. So I better see some comments below. Until next time, enjoy Week 3 and beyond everybody!
